New PDF release: Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World
By Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin
How will the realm have the capacity to feed as regards to nine billion humans in 2050 and nonetheless retain the ecosystems? during this viewpoint, INRA and CIRAD introduced the initiative, in 2006, to enhance a foresight venture for analysing concerns bearing on the world's meals and agricultural structures at the 2050 timeline. This publication offers an artificial presentation of the most conclusions that this foresight undertaking has yielded. First, it recapitulates the most statistical references for the interval 1961 to 2003, sooner than happening to explain the Agribiom simulation software used to calculate nutrition biomass source use balances. eventualities at the 2050 timeline are then thought of: Agrimonde cross is a trend-based state of affairs that bets on monetary development to feed the area, in a context the place environmental security isn't a concern; by contrast, the belief in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the area whereas keeping its ecosystems.
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Additional info for Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050
30 B. Dorin and T. L. g. increase or decrease in the protein content of the feed), • based on a system of two equations (production of proteins from rumi on the one hand and from mono on the other), with three explanatory factors: proteins from feed (plant and animal origin), hectares of pasture, and level of production of the “substitute” output (production of mono in production functions of rumi, and vice-versa). 1). More elaborated functions can reproduce these past trends even more accurately, but this was not the major objective here.
The first set was chosen because it describes populations according to their gender (female/male), their dwelling place (rural/ urban)6, their dependence on agriculture (“agricultural population”)7 and their labour force (“economically active population”)8. ” data set is less File called “PopSTAT-Annual-Time-Series1” in 2007–2008. Online FAOSTAT glossary (2008): “Rural population” = “Residual population after subtracting urban population from total population” and “Urban population” = “Usually the urban areas and hence the urban population are defined according to national census definitions which can be roughly divided into three major groups: classification of localities of a certain size as urban; classification of administrative centres of minor civil divisions as urban; and classification of centres of minor civil divisions on a chosen criterion which may include type of local government, number of inhabitants or proportion of population engaged in agriculture, as urban”.
2) (MA 2005b). The distribution of our entities across the six MA regions is detailed in Appendix 1. This zoning delimits regions considered to be relatively homogeneous according to some indicators. ). This grouping of areas and change of scale of analysis is necessary, even though it raises various important questions in the estimation of certain values, as in the development and application of models. The “Belgium-Luxemburg” zone was maintained, whereas from 2000 onwards, the series pertaining to food balances had no data for this set or for either of its units separately (Belgium or Luxemburg).
Agrimonde – Scenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050 by Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin